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# CRYPTO ANALYSIS

Bitcoin Falters as Hedge, Says ‘Black Swan’ Author Taleb

Black Swan, Taleb, Bitcoin

KEYTAKEAWAYS

  • Nassim Taleb argues Bitcoin is not an effective hedge against market meltdowns.
  • Crypto market saw a $510 billion drop, with Bitcoin falling 18% in a day.

CONTENT

Nassim Taleb critiques Bitcoin’s performance during recent market downturn, questioning its effectiveness as a hedge against systemic risks. The cryptocurrency market experienced a $510 billion drop amid global financial turbulence.


 

Nassim Taleb, renowned author of “The Black Swan” and adviser to Universa Investments, has cast doubt on Bitcoin’s efficacy as a hedge against systemic market risks. Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box on August 6, Taleb pointed to the cryptocurrency market’s sharp downturn on August 5 as evidence of Bitcoin’s shortcomings in protecting against asset meltdowns.

 

 

The crypto market experienced a staggering $510 billion drop in total market capitalization during the recent marketwide downturn. This sell-off resulted in over 60% of the top 50 cryptocurrencies losing all gains made during 2024, according to data from CryptoQuant.

 

Bitcoin, often touted as “digital gold” and a hedge against traditional market volatility, fell by approximately 18% in a single day. This decline outpaced losses in other asset classes, with the S&P 500 falling by more than 5% and Japan’s Nikkei plunging around 12%.

 

Bitcoin Price

Source: CoinMarketCap

 

Taleb characterized Bitcoin as “a speculative asset that seems to behave like high-price real estate in Manhattan,” suggesting it primarily exists to “track the stock market.” He contrasted this with gold, which he considers a superior store of value due to its enduring physical properties.

 

The market crash was triggered by the Bank of Japan’s July 31 interest rate hike and a subsequent spike in the yen’s value. This development increased costs for foreign borrowers with yen-denominated debt, estimated at $2 trillion just before the crash, according to ING Bank.

 

The cryptocurrency market was particularly hard hit, with nearly $40 billion in borrowed funds used to finance risky leveraged trades, as reported by CoinGlass. This leverage amplified the impact of the market downturn on crypto assets.

 

Despite these challenges, it’s important to note that Bitcoin has shown remarkable resilience since its 2009 launch, supported by a global decentralized network of approximately 1 million miners. However, concerns persist about Bitcoin’s long-term viability, especially as it approaches its fixed supply limit of 21 million BTC.

 

As the debate over Bitcoin’s role in investment portfolios continues, Taleb’s critique adds to the growing discourse on the cryptocurrency’s true nature and its ability to serve as a reliable hedge against systemic market risks.

 

>> Also read: Crypto Market in Turmoil: Bitcoin and Ethereum Lead Massive Selloff

 

 

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DISCLAIMER

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