KEYTAKEAWAYS
- The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and updated economic projections on Wednesday will shape market expectations for future monetary policy.
- U.S. retail sales data on Monday will provide key insights into consumer spending trends and economic momentum.
- Major crypto token unlocks, including APE, QAI, and MRS, could introduce volatility as large token supplies enter the market.
CONTENT
WEEKLY NEWS OVERVIEW
(March 17-23, 2025, GMT-4)
Monday, March 17, 2025
- 08:30 🇺🇸 U.S. Core Retail Sales MoM (Feb)
- 08:30 🇺🇸 U.S. Retail Sales MoM (Feb)
- 06:00 🔓 SOLV unlocks 117 million tokens (7.93% of circulating supply, ~$5M)
- 08:30 🔓 APE unlocks 15.6 million tokens (1.95% of circulating supply, ~$8M)
Tuesday, March 18, 2025
- 20:00 🔓 QAI unlocks 566K tokens (3960.24% of circulating supply, ~$41.4M)
- 20:00 🔓 FTN unlocks 20 million tokens (4.65% of circulating supply, ~$79.8M)
- 20:00 🔓 MELANIA unlocks 26.25 million tokens (17.50% of circulating supply, ~$17.6M)
Wednesday, March 19, 2025
- 09:30 🇺🇸 U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stock Change (Weekly)
- 14:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Economic Projections
- 14:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Monetary Policy Statement
- 14:00 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
- 14:30 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Press Conference
- 20:00 🔓 ZKJ unlocks 15.53 million tokens (25.72% of circulating supply, ~$31.8M)
Friday, March 21, 2025
- 20:00 🔓 IMX unlocks 24.52 million tokens (1.39% of circulating supply, ~$13.4M)
Saturday, March 22, 2025
- 20:00 🔓 ID unlocks 78.49 million tokens (18.23% of circulating supply, ~$19.3M)
Sunday, March 23, 2025
- 20:00 🔓 OM unlocks 5 million tokens (0.51% of circulating supply, ~$32.8M)
- 20:00 🔓 MRS unlocks 10 million tokens (11.87% of circulating supply, ~$97.4M)
- 20:00 🔓 MURA unlocks 10 million tokens (1.00% of circulating supply, ~$7.4M)
KEY EVENTS TO WATCH THIS WEEK
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
The most significant event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Wednesday, March 19. In addition to the rate decision, the monetary policy statement, press conference, and updated economic projections (including the dot plot) will be released.
Markets widely expect no rate cut before June, so the focus will be on the dot plot and signals regarding future monetary policy. According to Stifel economists, rather than proceeding with further rate cuts, the Fed may adopt a wait-and-see approach, especially considering the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade tariffs and its potential impact on economic growth. These factors have already led to speculation that the Fed may cut rates earlier than expected.
Macroeconomic Data and Market Impact
Earlier in the week, U.S. retail sales data on Monday will provide insight into consumer spending trends, an important indicator of economic momentum. EIA crude oil stock data on Wednesday will also be closely watched, particularly by energy markets.
Major Token Unlocks in the Crypto Market
This week will see several high-profile token unlocks, which could lead to increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market.
- Monday: APE unlocks 15.6M tokens (~$8M)
- Tuesday: QAI unlocks 566K tokens (3960.24% of circulating supply, ~$41.4M)
- Wednesday: ZKJ unlocks 15.53M tokens (~$31.8M)
- Friday: IMX unlocks 24.52M tokens (~$13.4M)
- Sunday: MRS unlocks 10M tokens (~$97.4M)
The unlocks for QAI, MRS, and FTN are particularly notable due to their large percentage of the circulating supply, which could put downward pressure on prices unless there is strong demand to absorb the new supply.
MARKET OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK AHEAD
With key macroeconomic data releases and significant token unlocks, this week could bring major market moves. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Wednesday will be the most critical event, shaping expectations for monetary policy in the coming months. Investors will closely analyze the economic projections and dot plot for insights into potential rate cuts.
In the crypto market, large token unlocks across multiple projects, including APE, QAI, IMX, and MRS, could introduce volatility and impact market sentiment. Traders should watch for liquidity shifts as these tokens enter circulation.
With uncertainty around interest rates, inflation, and trade policy, both traditional and digital asset markets may experience increased volatility. Staying informed and tracking these key events will be essential for navigating the week ahead.
Also Read：
Crypto Weekly Outlook (3/10-3/16)｜ Key U.S. Economic Data, Events, and Token Unlocks
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